AZ @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 1, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

5–6

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 44°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, In From CF

Zac Gallen · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.8% K/BF

vs LHB18.2%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Matt Shaw (R)20.5%3.0 PA

2Moisés Ballesteros (L)17.4%3.0 PA

3Alex Bregman (R)16.5%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)25.4%2.7 PA

5Seiya Suzuki (R)23.5%2.0 PA

6Michael Busch (L)24.4%2.0 PA

7Carson Kelly (R)22.2%2.0 PA

8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.1%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)21.3%2.0 PA

Colin Rea · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.5% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Geraldo Perdomo (L)18.0%3.0 PA

2Ildemaro Vargas (L)15.8%3.0 PA

3Corbin Carroll (L)27.0%3.0 PA

4Ketel Marte (L)18.3%2.5 PA

5Gabriel Moreno (R)19.3%2.0 PA

6Jose Fernandez (R)20.6%2.0 PA

7Nolan Arenado (R)19.2%2.0 PA

8Tim Tawa (R)23.6%2.0 PA

9Jorge Barrosa (L)28.8%2.0 PA