HOU @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 1, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

1–3

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 59°F ClearWind 3 mph, Out To RF

Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB26.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)24.1%3.0 PA

2Willson Contreras (R)26.1%3.0 PA

3Roman Anthony (L)26.0%3.0 PA

4Wilyer Abreu (L)21.8%3.0 PA

5Trevor Story (R)25.7%3.0 PA

6Marcelo Mayer (L)18.4%2.4 PA

7Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.4%2.0 PA

8Carlos Narváez (R)25.6%2.0 PA

9Caleb Durbin (R)16.1%2.0 PA

Jake Bennett · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Carlos Correa (R)18.8%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)16.0%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)18.6%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)23.9%3.0 PA

5Jose Altuve (R)20.5%3.0 PA

6Yainer Diaz (R)19.8%2.0 PA

7Cam Smith (R)26.7%2.0 PA

8Brice Matthews (R)27.8%2.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)20.8%2.0 PA