KC @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 2, 2026

Kansas City Royals

3–2

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 70°F ClearWind 0 mph, Calm

Seth Lugo · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.7% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)19.3%3.0 PA

2Julio Rodríguez (R)21.7%3.0 PA

3Josh Naylor (L)17.0%3.0 PA

4Randy Arozarena (R)25.3%3.0 PA

5Cole Young (L)21.4%3.0 PA

6Rob Refsnyder (R)22.3%2.8 PA

7Connor Joe (R)21.7%2.0 PA

8Mitch Garver (R)25.9%2.0 PA

9Leo Rivas (L)25.9%2.0 PA

Emerson Hancock · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Maikel Garcia (R)19.3%3.0 PA

2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)18.1%3.0 PA

3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)16.9%3.0 PA

4Lane Thomas (R)21.3%3.0 PA

5Carter Jensen (L)25.5%2.6 PA

6Jac Caglianone (L)27.0%2.0 PA

7Isaac Collins (L)24.8%2.0 PA

8Michael Massey (L)18.5%2.0 PA

9Kyle Isbel (L)21.8%2.0 PA