CIN @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 2, 2026

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

7–17

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 43°F OvercastWind 10 mph, Out To RF

Rhett Lowder · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Oneil Cruz (L)29.2%3.0 PA

2Jared Triolo (R)23.9%3.0 PA

3Jake Mangum (L)22.7%3.0 PA

4Billy Cook (R)25.9%3.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)17.2%3.0 PA

6Marcell Ozuna (R)27.6%2.1 PA

7Spencer Horwitz (L)15.9%2.0 PA

8Konnor Griffin (R)24.2%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)21.4%2.0 PA

Carmen Mlodzinski · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.1% K/BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Rece Hinds (R)26.0%3.0 PA

2JJ Bleday (L)20.0%3.0 PA

3Matt McLain (R)27.5%3.0 PA

4Sal Stewart (R)19.4%3.0 PA

5Nathaniel Lowe (L)20.7%2.1 PA

6Spencer Steer (R)23.4%2.0 PA

7Will Benson (L)25.5%2.0 PA

8Tyler Stephenson (R)27.4%2.0 PA

9Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)20.2%2.0 PA