TOR @ MIN Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 2, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

11–4

Final

MIN

Minnesota Twins

◆ Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 60°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To LF

Dylan Cease · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate30.3% K/BF

vs LHB25.9%

vs RHB31.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Byron Buxton (R)25.0%3.0 PA

2Trevor Larnach (L)18.7%3.0 PA

3Josh Bell (L)18.5%3.0 PA

4Ryan Jeffers (R)22.2%3.0 PA

5Kody Clemens (L)24.9%3.0 PA

6Luke Keaschall (R)19.1%2.0 PA

7Matt Wallner (L)28.3%2.0 PA

8Brooks Lee (L)20.4%2.0 PA

9Tristan Gray (L)25.0%2.0 PA

Connor Prielipp · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.6% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB28.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jesús Sánchez (L)23.2%3.0 PA

2Ernie Clement (R)15.3%3.0 PA

3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.1%3.0 PA

4Kazuma Okamoto (R)20.9%3.0 PA

5Lenyn Sosa (R)24.3%2.0 PA

6Daulton Varsho (L)21.6%2.0 PA

7Myles Straw (R)19.1%2.0 PA

8Davis Schneider (R)24.8%2.0 PA

9Brandon Valenzuela (R)24.1%2.0 PA