ATL @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 2, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

9–1

Final

COL

Colorado Rockies

◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 71°F ClearWind 12 mph, In From CF

Chris Sale · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.8% K/BF

vs LHB26.8%

vs RHB26.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jordan Beck (R)23.1%3.0 PA

2Brenton Doyle (R)21.3%3.0 PA

3TJ Rumfield (L)18.1%3.0 PA

4Hunter Goodman (R)28.0%3.0 PA

5Willi Castro (R)23.4%2.9 PA

6Brett Sullivan (L)19.8%2.0 PA

7Kyle Karros (R)24.7%2.0 PA

8Ezequiel Tovar (R)27.7%2.0 PA

9Troy Johnston (L)19.9%2.0 PA

Brennan Bernardino · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.9% K/BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.4 BF

Expected batters faced13.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Eli White (R)22.8%2.0 PA

2Drake Baldwin (L)17.8%2.0 PA

3Ozzie Albies (R)13.2%2.0 PA

4Matt Olson (L)22.3%2.0 PA

5Dominic Smith (L)23.0%1.4 PA

6Mauricio Dubón (R)18.3%1.0 PA

7Austin Riley (R)22.7%1.0 PA

8Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.7%1.0 PA

9Jorge Mateo (R)28.6%1.0 PA