AZ @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 2, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

0–2

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 50°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From CF

Ryne Nelson · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.1% K/BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Michael Busch (L)23.9%3.0 PA

2Moisés Ballesteros (L)17.0%3.0 PA

3Alex Bregman (R)16.1%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)25.6%2.7 PA

5Seiya Suzuki (R)23.8%2.0 PA

6Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.2%2.0 PA

7Dansby Swanson (R)20.6%2.0 PA

8Matt Shaw (R)21.2%2.0 PA

9Miguel Amaya (R)21.7%2.0 PA

Shota Imanaga · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF

vs LHB27.8%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ketel Marte (R)19.9%3.0 PA

2Geraldo Perdomo (R)17.5%3.0 PA

3Corbin Carroll (L)21.8%3.0 PA

4Ildemaro Vargas (R)17.2%3.0 PA

5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)18.8%2.6 PA

6Nolan Arenado (R)17.5%2.0 PA

7Jose Fernandez (R)22.7%2.0 PA

8James McCann (R)20.8%2.0 PA

9Jorge Barrosa (R)21.3%2.0 PA