SF @ TB Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

San Francisco Giants

1–2

Final

Tampa Bay Rays

◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

Tyler Mahle · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.4% K/BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB18.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Chandler Simpson (L)13.8%3.0 PA

2Junior Caminero (R)20.2%3.0 PA

3Jonathan Aranda (L)23.5%3.0 PA

4Ryan Vilade (R)21.2%3.0 PA

5Jonny DeLuca (R)20.1%2.9 PA

6Ben Williamson (R)21.2%2.0 PA

7Cedric Mullins (L)21.7%2.0 PA

8Hunter Feduccia (L)25.3%2.0 PA

9Taylor Walls (L)25.9%2.0 PA

Steven Matz · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.2% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SF lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Heliot Ramos (R)24.9%3.0 PA

2Rafael Devers (L)24.4%3.0 PA

3Casey Schmitt (R)20.0%3.0 PA

4Luis Arraez (L)14.0%3.0 PA

5Matt Chapman (R)23.3%2.2 PA

6Willy Adames (R)24.5%2.0 PA

7Jung Hoo Lee (L)20.8%2.0 PA

8Drew Gilbert (L)23.9%2.0 PA

9Eric Haase (R)23.1%2.0 PA