CIN @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

0–1

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 56°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, Out To LF

Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.2% K/BF

vs LHB26.8%

vs RHB26.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Oneil Cruz (L)29.6%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)21.0%3.0 PA

3Henry Davis (R)21.0%3.0 PA

4Ryan O'Hearn (L)18.7%3.0 PA

5Nick Gonzales (R)16.6%2.9 PA

6Billy Cook (R)24.1%2.0 PA

7Spencer Horwitz (L)15.7%2.0 PA

8Konnor Griffin (R)23.8%2.0 PA

9Jake Mangum (L)22.4%2.0 PA

Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.3% K/BF

vs LHB26.9%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1TJ Friedl (L)20.8%3.0 PA

2Dane Myers (R)21.7%3.0 PA

3Elly De La Cruz (L)25.8%3.0 PA

4Sal Stewart (R)20.2%3.0 PA

5Nathaniel Lowe (L)21.6%3.0 PA

6Spencer Steer (R)23.7%2.0 PA

7Will Benson (L)25.8%2.0 PA

8Jose Trevino (R)21.1%2.0 PA

9Matt McLain (R)26.6%2.0 PA