PHI @ MIA Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

7–2

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Jesús Luzardo · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.3% K/BF

vs LHB25.4%

vs RHB24.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Otto Lopez (R)19.1%3.0 PA

2Agustín Ramírez (R)21.4%3.0 PA

3Owen Caissie (L)29.7%3.0 PA

4Connor Norby (R)21.9%3.0 PA

5Graham Pauley (L)20.5%3.0 PA

6Christopher Morel (R)26.2%2.5 PA

7Leo Jiménez (R)23.9%2.0 PA

8Esteury Ruiz (R)22.5%2.0 PA

9Javier Sanoja (R)18.9%2.0 PA

Chris Paddack · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.4% K/BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Trea Turner (R)20.6%3.0 PA

2Kyle Schwarber (L)29.0%3.0 PA

3Bryce Harper (L)19.5%3.0 PA

4Alec Bohm (R)18.4%3.0 PA

5Brandon Marsh (L)20.8%2.3 PA

6J.T. Realmuto (R)22.1%2.0 PA

7Bryson Stott (L)21.5%2.0 PA

8Felix Reyes (R)22.0%2.0 PA

9Justin Crawford (L)17.9%2.0 PA