ATL @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

11–6

Final

COL

Colorado Rockies

◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 73°F CloudyWind 8 mph, In From RF

Spencer Strider · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Edouard Julien (L)24.6%3.0 PA

2Mickey Moniak (L)21.3%3.0 PA

3Hunter Goodman (R)29.3%3.0 PA

4TJ Rumfield (L)18.0%3.0 PA

5Troy Johnston (L)21.3%3.0 PA

6Willi Castro (L)24.7%2.0 PA

7Brett Sullivan (L)20.8%2.0 PA

8Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.6%2.0 PA

9Jake McCarthy (L)17.8%2.0 PA

Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF

vs LHB20.5%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Mauricio Dubón (R)18.4%3.0 PA

2Drake Baldwin (L)17.7%3.0 PA

3Ozzie Albies (R)13.2%2.9 PA

4Matt Olson (L)22.1%2.0 PA

5Austin Riley (R)22.3%2.0 PA

6Eli White (R)23.0%2.0 PA

7Jonah Heim (R)19.3%2.0 PA

8Jorge Mateo (R)28.6%2.0 PA

9Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.9%2.0 PA