‹ Strikeouts · Sunday, May 3, 2026
AZ @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
4–8
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 58°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To LF
Merrill Kelly · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.4% K/BF
vs LHB17.0%
vs RHB21.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts3
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nico Hoerner (R)13.0%3.0 PA
2Moisés Ballesteros (L)17.4%3.0 PA
3Alex Bregman (R)16.8%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)24.7%3.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)22.9%3.0 PA
6Michael Busch (L)23.8%2.5 PA
7Carson Kelly (R)21.5%2.0 PA
8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.4%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)20.3%2.0 PA
Matthew Boyd · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.4% K/BF
vs LHB24.7%
vs RHB24.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)20.7%3.0 PA
2Geraldo Perdomo (R)16.6%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)20.4%3.0 PA
4Ildemaro Vargas (R)16.9%2.8 PA
5Nolan Arenado (R)18.4%2.0 PA
6Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)19.3%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Moreno (R)19.7%2.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)22.9%2.0 PA
9Adrian Del Castillo (L)27.6%2.0 PA