HOU @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

3–1

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 50°F CloudyWind 6 mph, In From LF

Cody Bolton · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF

vs LHB20.6%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.0 BF

Expected batters faced19.0

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)23.4%3.0 PA

2Willson Contreras (R)25.4%2.0 PA

3Roman Anthony (L)25.4%2.0 PA

4Wilyer Abreu (L)20.5%2.0 PA

5Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)18.9%2.0 PA

6Marcelo Mayer (L)19.0%2.0 PA

7Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.7%2.0 PA

8Carlos Narváez (R)25.8%2.0 PA

9Caleb Durbin (R)15.5%2.0 PA

Ranger Suarez · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Carlos Correa (R)17.1%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)16.6%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)17.6%3.0 PA

4Braden Shewmake (L)23.3%3.0 PA

5Jose Altuve (R)19.5%2.6 PA

6Brice Matthews (R)28.3%2.0 PA

7Cam Smith (R)26.5%2.0 PA

8Yainer Diaz (R)19.8%2.0 PA

9Daniel Johnson (L)20.6%2.0 PA