MIL @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

3–6

Final

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 72°F CloudyWind 11 mph, R To L

Chad Patrick · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.1% K/BF

vs LHB18.0%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1JJ Wetherholt (L)20.6%3.0 PA

2Iván Herrera (R)20.6%3.0 PA

3Alec Burleson (L)17.2%3.0 PA

4Jordan Walker (R)27.2%2.3 PA

5Nolan Gorman (L)27.5%2.0 PA

6Masyn Winn (R)21.6%2.0 PA

7Nathan Church (L)23.2%2.0 PA

8Pedro Pagés (R)22.2%2.0 PA

9Victor Scott II (L)27.0%2.0 PA

Kyle Leahy · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.2% K/BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Garrett Mitchell (L)31.1%3.0 PA

2Jackson Chourio (R)19.6%3.0 PA

3Brice Turang (L)21.3%3.0 PA

4William Contreras (R)14.6%3.0 PA

5Tyler Black (L)22.9%2.7 PA

6Andrew Vaughn (R)21.0%2.0 PA

7Sal Frelick (L)13.4%2.0 PA

8Luis Rengifo (L)16.1%2.0 PA

9David Hamilton (L)20.3%2.0 PA