ATL @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

4–5

Final

SEA

Seattle Mariners

◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 76°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To RF

JR Ritchie · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)19.1%3.0 PA

2Julio Rodríguez (R)20.8%3.0 PA

3Josh Naylor (L)17.4%3.0 PA

4Randy Arozarena (R)25.0%3.0 PA

5Rob Refsnyder (R)22.5%3.0 PA

6Connor Joe (R)21.7%2.5 PA

7Cole Young (L)21.8%2.0 PA

8Mitch Garver (R)28.4%2.0 PA

9Leo Rivas (L)25.3%2.0 PA

Logan Gilbert · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.1% K/BF

vs LHB24.7%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Drake Baldwin (L)23.3%3.0 PA

2Ozzie Albies (L)17.4%3.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)21.0%3.0 PA

4Mauricio Dubón (R)17.9%3.0 PA

5Austin Riley (R)26.7%2.9 PA

6Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.6%2.0 PA

7Michael Harris II (L)19.4%2.0 PA

8Eli White (R)20.6%2.0 PA

9José Azócar (R)20.0%2.0 PA