SD @ SF Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

San Diego Padres

2–3

Final

San Francisco Giants

◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 58°F CloudyWind 13 mph, Varies

Randy Vásquez · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.9%3.0 PA

2Casey Schmitt (R)21.3%3.0 PA

3Luis Arraez (L)10.2%3.0 PA

4Heliot Ramos (R)25.0%3.0 PA

5Rafael Devers (L)27.4%2.9 PA

6Willy Adames (R)29.6%2.0 PA

7Bryce Eldridge (L)28.2%2.0 PA

8Patrick Bailey (L)22.4%2.0 PA

9Drew Gilbert (L)19.4%2.0 PA

Trevor McDonald · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Ramón Laureano (R)29.7%3.0 PA

2Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.9%3.0 PA

3Jackson Merrill (L)22.5%3.0 PA

4Manny Machado (R)22.0%3.0 PA

5Xander Bogaerts (R)21.9%3.0 PA

6Gavin Sheets (L)21.2%2.0 PA

7Miguel Andujar (R)18.9%2.0 PA

8Freddy Fermin (R)20.5%2.0 PA

9Jake Cronenworth (L)21.1%2.0 PA