BOS @ DET Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

BOS

Boston Red Sox

5–4

Final

DET

Detroit Tigers

◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 72°F Partly CloudyWind 18 mph, R To L

Payton Tolle · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.0% K/BF

vs LHB25.2%

vs RHB26.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Kerry Carpenter (L)24.2%3.0 PA

2Matt Vierling (R)18.4%3.0 PA

3Dillon Dingler (R)20.3%3.0 PA

4Riley Greene (L)25.7%3.0 PA

5Spencer Torkelson (R)22.8%2.6 PA

6Wenceel Pérez (R)20.4%2.0 PA

7Hao-Yu Lee (R)26.4%2.0 PA

8Colt Keith (L)22.5%2.0 PA

9Zack Short (R)28.9%2.0 PA

Tyler Holton · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.7% K/BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB18.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.0 BF

Expected batters faced14.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)21.1%2.0 PA

2Willson Contreras (R)23.3%2.0 PA

3Aroldis Chapman (L)22.0%2.0 PA

4Trevor Story (R)25.5%2.0 PA

5Wilyer Abreu (L)17.4%2.0 PA

6Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.1%1.0 PA

7Marcelo Mayer (L)20.9%1.0 PA

8Carlos Narváez (R)20.5%1.0 PA

9Caleb Durbin (R)18.6%1.0 PA