CIN @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 4, 2026

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

4–5

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 65°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

Chase Petty · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB18.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)12.7%3.0 PA

2Michael Conforto (L)22.3%3.0 PA

3Alex Bregman (R)17.2%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)24.9%3.0 PA

5Seiya Suzuki (R)24.8%3.0 PA

6Michael Busch (L)23.7%2.0 PA

7Carson Kelly (R)20.6%2.0 PA

8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)24.9%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)20.3%2.0 PA

Edward Cabrera · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.9% K/BF

vs LHB17.1%

vs RHB27.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Dane Myers (R)21.8%3.0 PA

2JJ Bleday (L)19.6%3.0 PA

3Elly De La Cruz (L)25.6%3.0 PA

4Sal Stewart (R)20.1%3.0 PA

5Blake Dunn (R)26.7%3.0 PA

6Spencer Steer (R)24.0%2.4 PA

7Tyler Stephenson (R)26.7%2.0 PA

8Matt McLain (R)26.1%2.0 PA

9Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)21.6%2.0 PA