SD @ SF Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 5, 2026

San Diego Padres

10–5

Final

San Francisco Giants

◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 59°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To CF

Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.5%3.0 PA

2Casey Schmitt (R)21.6%3.0 PA

3Rafael Devers (L)26.4%3.0 PA

4Heliot Ramos (R)24.2%2.3 PA

5Bryce Eldridge (L)22.4%2.0 PA

6Matt Chapman (R)24.7%2.0 PA

7Willy Adames (R)29.1%2.0 PA

8Christian Koss (R)20.9%2.0 PA

9Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.0%2.0 PA

Logan Webb · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.8 BF

Expected batters faced24.8

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jackson Merrill (L)22.2%3.0 PA

2Manny Machado (R)22.0%3.0 PA

3Miguel Andujar (R)19.5%3.0 PA

4Gavin Sheets (L)22.6%3.0 PA

5Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.3%3.0 PA

6Xander Bogaerts (R)21.3%3.0 PA

7Bryce Johnson (L)24.4%2.8 PA

8Luis Campusano (R)23.6%2.0 PA

9Sung-Mun Song (L)22.0%2.0 PA