CIN @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 5, 2026

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

2–3

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 57°F CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R

Andrew Abbott · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)16.8%3.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)18.6%3.0 PA

3Ian Happ (R)22.9%3.0 PA

4Seiya Suzuki (R)22.7%3.0 PA

5Dansby Swanson (R)24.5%2.8 PA

6Michael Busch (L)22.6%2.0 PA

7Ryan Rolison (R)22.0%2.0 PA

8Miguel Amaya (R)20.5%2.0 PA

9Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)25.6%2.0 PA

Jameson Taillon · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1TJ Friedl (L)20.5%3.0 PA

2Dane Myers (R)21.5%3.0 PA

3Elly De La Cruz (L)25.1%3.0 PA

4Sal Stewart (R)20.2%3.0 PA

5Nathaniel Lowe (L)22.8%3.0 PA

6Spencer Steer (R)22.6%2.2 PA

7Jose Trevino (R)20.3%2.0 PA

8Matt McLain (R)26.2%2.0 PA

9Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)21.4%2.0 PA