MIL @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 6, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

6–2

Final

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

◆ Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 58°F CloudyWind 7 mph, In From RF

Brandon Sproat · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.8% K/BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB21.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1JJ Wetherholt (L)19.0%3.0 PA

2Iván Herrera (R)20.5%3.0 PA

3Alec Burleson (L)17.9%3.0 PA

4Jordan Walker (R)26.8%2.4 PA

5Nolan Gorman (L)27.1%2.0 PA

6Masyn Winn (R)20.7%2.0 PA

7José Fermín (R)21.4%2.0 PA

8César Prieto (L)28.6%2.0 PA

9Victor Scott II (L)26.4%2.0 PA

Andre Pallante · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Sal Frelick (L)13.1%3.0 PA

2Jackson Chourio (R)19.9%3.0 PA

3Brice Turang (L)21.3%3.0 PA

4William Contreras (R)14.2%3.0 PA

5Jake Bauers (L)23.4%3.0 PA

6Andrew Vaughn (R)21.6%2.0 PA

7Brandon Lockridge (R)23.4%2.0 PA

8David Hamilton (L)21.6%2.0 PA

9Joey Ortiz (R)20.2%2.0 PA