SD @ SF Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 6, 2026

San Diego Padres

5–1

Final

San Francisco Giants

◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 67°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Varies

Bradgley Rodriguez · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB18.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.6 BF

Expected batters faced13.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection2.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Heliot Ramos (R)25.0%2.0 PA

2Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.1%2.0 PA

3Casey Schmitt (R)21.7%2.0 PA

4Matt Chapman (R)24.7%2.0 PA

5Rafael Devers (L)26.3%1.6 PA

6Willy Adames (R)28.9%1.0 PA

7Bryce Eldridge (L)21.0%1.0 PA

8Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.0%1.0 PA

9Patrick Bailey (L)22.6%1.0 PA

Adrian Houser · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate15.7% K/BF

vs LHB17.1%

vs RHB17.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jackson Merrill (L)22.9%3.0 PA

2Manny Machado (R)22.8%3.0 PA

3Miguel Andujar (R)18.8%3.0 PA

4Xander Bogaerts (R)20.5%3.0 PA

5Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.1%3.0 PA

6Ramón Laureano (R)28.9%2.4 PA

7Nick Castellanos (R)22.5%2.0 PA

8Freddy Fermin (R)20.8%2.0 PA

9Ty France (R)16.2%2.0 PA