‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, May 7, 2026
STL @ SD Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 7, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
2–1
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 64°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R
Matthew Liberatore · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.1% K/BF
vs LHB20.3%
vs RHB18.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jackson Merrill (L)23.2%3.0 PA
2Miguel Andujar (R)18.9%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)19.3%3.0 PA
4Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)22.8%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)17.2%2.8 PA
6Ramón Laureano (R)23.8%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)19.9%2.0 PA
8Nick Castellanos (R)21.8%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0 PA
Michael King · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.8% K/BF
vs LHB23.4%
vs RHB25.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.7 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)19.2%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)21.1%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)18.2%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)25.9%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)26.9%2.9 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)21.3%2.0 PA
7Nathan Church (L)22.6%2.0 PA
8Pedro Pagés (R)24.3%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)25.9%2.0 PA