BAL @ MIA Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 7, 2026

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

3–4

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Cade Povich · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Otto Lopez (R)19.3%3.0 PA

2Xavier Edwards (R)18.9%3.0 PA

3Liam Hicks (L)18.6%3.0 PA

4Christopher Morel (R)27.6%3.0 PA

5Heriberto Hernández (R)21.8%2.9 PA

6Kyle Stowers (L)20.5%2.0 PA

7Jakob Marsee (L)27.0%2.0 PA

8Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0 PA

9Javier Sanoja (R)19.3%2.0 PA

Max Meyer · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF

vs LHB25.3%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Gunnar Henderson (L)26.9%3.0 PA

2Taylor Ward (R)21.5%3.0 PA

3Dylan Beavers (L)24.1%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)21.0%3.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)25.1%2.5 PA

6Tyler O'Neill (R)21.3%2.0 PA

7Colton Cowser (L)27.4%2.0 PA

8Coby Mayo (R)29.2%2.0 PA

9Blaze Alexander (R)26.1%2.0 PA