CIN @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 7, 2026

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

3–8

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 54°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, R To L

Rhett Lowder · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.6% K/BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)11.3%3.0 PA

2Moisés Ballesteros (L)18.0%3.0 PA

3Alex Bregman (R)17.6%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)25.2%3.0 PA

5Michael Busch (L)23.5%2.5 PA

6Michael Conforto (L)23.1%2.0 PA

7Dansby Swanson (R)20.2%2.0 PA

8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.6%2.0 PA

9Miguel Amaya (R)22.3%2.0 PA

Shota Imanaga · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.9% K/BF

vs LHB27.6%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Will Benson (L)23.1%3.0 PA

2Matt McLain (R)22.4%3.0 PA

3Elly De La Cruz (R)25.1%3.0 PA

4Sal Stewart (R)19.7%3.0 PA

5Spencer Steer (R)21.4%2.9 PA

6Tyler Stephenson (R)21.3%2.0 PA

7JJ Bleday (L)22.3%2.0 PA

8Blake Dunn (R)30.1%2.0 PA

9Nathaniel Lowe (L)20.8%2.0 PA