‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, May 7, 2026
PIT @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 7, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
4–2
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 78°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF
vs LHB19.7%
vs RHB23.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.7 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Geraldo Perdomo (L)19.0%3.0 PA
2Ketel Marte (L)19.5%3.0 PA
3Corbin Carroll (L)26.6%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)20.2%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)14.6%3.0 PA
6Jose Fernandez (R)19.9%2.1 PA
7Jorge Barrosa (L)26.8%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Moreno (R)23.8%2.0 PA
9Tim Tawa (R)23.5%2.0 PA
Zac Gallen · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.0% K/BF
vs LHB18.3%
vs RHB21.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.4 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)29.0%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)21.0%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)25.4%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.2%2.7 PA
5Spencer Horwitz (L)15.6%2.0 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)24.6%2.0 PA
7Jared Triolo (R)22.7%2.0 PA
8Billy Cook (R)24.1%2.0 PA
9Joey Bart (R)23.8%2.0 PA