HOU @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 8, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

10–0

Final

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 67°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, R To L

Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.2% K/BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1TJ Friedl (L)20.8%3.0 PA

2JJ Bleday (L)21.1%3.0 PA

3Elly De La Cruz (L)26.4%3.0 PA

4Sal Stewart (R)20.3%3.0 PA

5Nathaniel Lowe (L)23.5%3.0 PA

6Spencer Steer (R)22.3%2.5 PA

7Tyler Stephenson (R)26.3%2.0 PA

8Matt McLain (R)24.6%2.0 PA

9Will Benson (L)27.4%2.0 PA

Nick Lodolo · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Braden Shewmake (L)21.9%3.0 PA

2Shay Whitcomb (R)23.8%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)18.5%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)23.4%3.0 PA

5Cam Smith (R)25.5%3.0 PA

6Brice Matthews (R)27.7%2.0 PA

7Zach Cole (L)23.5%2.0 PA

8Christian Vázquez (R)19.3%2.0 PA

9Nick Allen (R)19.5%2.0 PA