COL @ PHI Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 9, 2026

COL

Colorado Rockies

3–9

Final

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 61°F CloudyWind 7 mph, In From RF

Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.2%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Trea Turner (R)20.1%3.0 PA

2Kyle Schwarber (L)25.1%3.0 PA

3Felix Reyes (R)22.0%3.0 PA

4Adolis García (R)25.4%2.1 PA

5Justin Crawford (L)23.3%2.0 PA

6Brandon Marsh (L)24.2%2.0 PA

7J.T. Realmuto (R)20.5%2.0 PA

8Alec Bohm (R)20.3%2.0 PA

9Bryson Stott (L)17.3%2.0 PA

Aaron Nola · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB26.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Tyler Freeman (R)15.6%3.0 PA

2Mickey Moniak (L)21.8%3.0 PA

3Hunter Goodman (R)27.8%3.0 PA

4TJ Rumfield (L)18.0%3.0 PA

5Troy Johnston (L)22.5%3.0 PA

6Willi Castro (L)26.2%2.0 PA

7Jake McCarthy (L)18.1%2.0 PA

8Kyle Karros (R)24.7%2.0 PA

9Brett Sullivan (L)24.1%2.0 PA