‹ Strikeouts · Saturday, May 9, 2026
HOU @ CIN Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 9, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
1–3
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F SunnyWind 9 mph, Out To LF
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.9% K/BF
vs LHB25.0%
vs RHB21.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.8 BF
Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Dane Myers (R)21.9%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)20.3%3.0 PA
3Elly De La Cruz (L)26.3%3.0 PA
4Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)21.5%3.0 PA
5Nathaniel Lowe (L)24.3%3.0 PA
6Spencer Steer (R)23.1%2.8 PA
7Will Benson (L)28.0%2.0 PA
8Jose Trevino (R)19.5%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)24.1%2.0 PA
Chase Burns · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.8% K/BF
vs LHB27.5%
vs RHB25.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jose Altuve (R)20.5%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)17.4%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)18.4%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)20.8%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)26.6%3.0 PA
6Zach Dezenzo (R)23.8%2.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)28.8%2.0 PA
8Braden Shewmake (L)20.2%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)20.3%2.0 PA