MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Saturday, May 9, 2026

NYM @ AZ Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 9, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
12
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 78°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

NYM Clay Holmes · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)20.1%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)25.4%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)18.0%3.0 PA
4Adrian Del Castillo (L)26.9%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)16.2%3.0 PA
6Nolan Arenado (R)20.8%2.5 PA
7Jorge Barrosa (L)25.9%2.0 PA
8Gabriel Moreno (R)22.6%2.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)22.0%2.0 PA

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.9% K/BF

vs LHB16.2%
vs RHB22.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Juan Soto (L)18.8%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)17.6%3.0 PA
3MJ Melendez (L)28.0%3.0 PA
4Mark Vientos (R)24.6%3.0 PA
5Carson Benge (L)20.1%3.0 PA
6Marcus Semien (R)19.3%2.5 PA
7Brett Baty (L)22.4%2.0 PA
8Francisco Alvarez (R)23.7%2.0 PA
9Tyrone Taylor (R)19.7%2.0 PA