TB @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 10, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

4–1

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 69°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

Nick Martinez · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)24.0%3.0 PA

2Andruw Monasterio (R)21.3%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.5%3.0 PA

4Carlos Narváez (R)25.3%3.0 PA

5Trevor Story (R)29.9%3.0 PA

6Mickey Gasper (L)21.0%2.5 PA

7Marcelo Mayer (L)21.6%2.0 PA

8Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.9%2.0 PA

9Caleb Durbin (R)16.4%2.0 PA

Payton Tolle · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.1% K/BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB26.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Chandler Simpson (L)18.1%3.0 PA

2Junior Caminero (R)17.7%3.0 PA

3Ben Williamson (R)20.1%3.0 PA

4Yandy Díaz (R)19.1%3.0 PA

5Jonathan Aranda (L)26.2%2.8 PA

6Cedric Mullins (L)18.6%2.0 PA

7Jonny DeLuca (R)22.2%2.0 PA

8Nick Fortes (R)20.0%2.0 PA

9Taylor Walls (R)21.7%2.0 PA