SEA @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 11, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

3–1

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

George Kirby · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.8% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jose Altuve (R)19.8%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)18.5%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)18.8%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)20.3%3.0 PA

5Zach Cole (L)24.2%3.0 PA

6Cam Smith (R)27.5%3.0 PA

7Brice Matthews (R)27.5%2.3 PA

8Braden Shewmake (L)19.9%2.0 PA

9Zach Dezenzo (R)23.8%2.0 PA

Peter Lambert · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.4% K/BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB18.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Brendan Donovan (L)16.5%3.0 PA

2Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0 PA

3Josh Naylor (L)15.7%3.0 PA

4Cal Raleigh (L)28.4%3.0 PA

5Randy Arozarena (R)24.4%3.0 PA

6Connor Joe (R)21.2%2.1 PA

7J.P. Crawford (L)21.0%2.0 PA

8Dominic Canzone (L)22.5%2.0 PA

9Cole Young (L)23.0%2.0 PA