‹ Strikeouts · Tuesday, May 12, 2026
CHC @ ATL Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, May 12, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
2–5
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 70°F ClearWind 6 mph, L To R
Colin Rea · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Drake Baldwin (L)23.3%3.0 PA
2Ozzie Albies (L)19.9%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)22.6%3.0 PA
4Michael Harris II (L)20.4%2.9 PA
5Mauricio Dubón (R)17.6%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)28.1%2.0 PA
7Dominic Smith (L)18.6%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)19.2%2.0 PA
9José Azócar (R)20.8%2.0 PA
Grant Holmes · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.3% K/BF
vs LHB19.4%
vs RHB22.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nico Hoerner (R)11.0%3.0 PA
2Matt Shaw (R)21.2%3.0 PA
3Alex Bregman (R)19.2%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)26.4%3.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)23.9%2.9 PA
6Michael Busch (L)21.8%2.0 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)19.1%2.0 PA
8Dansby Swanson (R)19.4%2.0 PA
9Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.0%2.0 PA