SEA @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 13, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

3–4

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Bryce Miller · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jose Altuve (R)19.2%3.0 PA

2Yordan Alvarez (L)21.1%3.0 PA

3Isaac Paredes (R)19.4%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)21.6%3.0 PA

5Cam Smith (R)29.0%3.0 PA

6Braden Shewmake (L)18.9%2.0 PA

7Brice Matthews (R)28.3%2.0 PA

8Zach Cole (L)27.2%2.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)20.9%2.0 PA

Lance McCullers Jr. · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.0% K/BF

vs LHB27.4%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1J.P. Crawford (L)19.8%3.0 PA

2Julio Rodríguez (R)22.7%3.0 PA

3Josh Naylor (L)15.7%3.0 PA

4Brendan Donovan (L)15.2%3.0 PA

5Randy Arozarena (R)23.1%2.1 PA

6Connor Joe (R)20.9%2.0 PA

7Rob Refsnyder (R)23.2%2.0 PA

8Cole Young (L)21.1%2.0 PA

9Mitch Garver (R)28.5%2.0 PA