PHI @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 13, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

1–3

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 62°F OvercastWind 6 mph, R To L

Andrew Painter · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.5% K/BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)24.4%3.0 PA

2Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)18.7%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)22.1%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)27.3%3.0 PA

5Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.7%2.5 PA

6Trevor Story (R)30.0%2.0 PA

7Marcelo Mayer (L)21.7%2.0 PA

8Carlos Narváez (R)24.6%2.0 PA

9Caleb Durbin (R)16.6%2.0 PA

Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.7% K/BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kyle Schwarber (L)27.7%3.0 PA

2Bryce Harper (L)17.6%3.0 PA

3Adolis García (R)23.0%3.0 PA

4Trea Turner (R)22.5%2.6 PA

5Alec Bohm (R)16.2%2.0 PA

6Bryson Stott (L)21.6%2.0 PA

7J.T. Realmuto (R)19.4%2.0 PA

8Justin Crawford (L)21.0%2.0 PA

9Edmundo Sosa (R)19.5%2.0 PA