SEA @ HOU Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 14, 2026

SEA

Seattle Mariners

8–3

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Luis Castillo · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Zach Cole (L)25.4%3.0 PA

2Jose Altuve (R)18.8%3.0 PA

3Yordan Alvarez (L)21.0%3.0 PA

4Isaac Paredes (R)18.9%3.0 PA

5Christian Walker (R)21.9%2.6 PA

6Braden Shewmake (L)20.2%2.0 PA

7Brice Matthews (R)27.9%2.0 PA

8Cam Smith (R)28.1%2.0 PA

9César Salazar (L)20.3%2.0 PA

Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.3% K/BF

vs LHB19.8%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Brendan Donovan (L)15.0%3.0 PA

2Julio Rodríguez (R)23.2%3.0 PA

3Josh Naylor (L)16.2%3.0 PA

4Randy Arozarena (R)23.6%3.0 PA

5Luke Raley (L)30.2%3.0 PA

6J.P. Crawford (L)19.7%2.6 PA

7Dominic Canzone (L)22.7%2.0 PA

8Mitch Garver (R)28.7%2.0 PA

9Cole Young (L)21.8%2.0 PA