‹ Strikeouts · Thursday, May 14, 2026
PHI @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 14, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
3–1
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 54°F RainWind 2 mph, Varies
Jesús Luzardo · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.1% K/BF
vs LHB25.0%
vs RHB28.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection6.4 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)23.3%3.0 PA
2Andruw Monasterio (R)22.4%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)20.9%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)21.8%3.0 PA
5Ceddanne Rafaela (R)25.4%3.0 PA
6Trevor Story (R)24.6%2.4 PA
7Mickey Gasper (R)22.6%2.0 PA
8Masataka Yoshida (L)19.4%2.0 PA
9Marcelo Mayer (L)20.9%2.0 PA
Ranger Suarez · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.6% K/BF
vs LHB24.2%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.1 BF
Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)18.9%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)25.5%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)21.6%3.0 PA
4Adolis García (R)25.5%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)19.5%2.1 PA
6Brandon Marsh (L)25.6%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)19.7%2.0 PA
8Bryson Stott (L)17.2%2.0 PA
9Justin Crawford (L)22.3%2.0 PA