CHC @ ATL Strikeouts matchups · Thursday, May 14, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

2–0

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 70°F ClearWind 11 mph, Out To LF

Ben Brown · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.3% K/BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.4 BF

Expected batters faced15.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Drake Baldwin (L)23.4%2.0 PA

2Ozzie Albies (L)19.8%2.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)21.8%2.0 PA

4Michael Harris II (L)20.1%2.0 PA

5Mauricio Dubón (R)18.0%2.0 PA

6Austin Riley (R)26.8%2.0 PA

7Dominic Smith (L)18.4%1.4 PA

8Ha-Seong Kim (R)20.1%1.0 PA

9Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.0%1.0 PA

Chris Sale · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.6% K/BF

vs LHB27.0%

vs RHB27.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)16.4%3.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)18.6%3.0 PA

3Ian Happ (R)26.8%3.0 PA

4Seiya Suzuki (R)21.3%3.0 PA

5Matt Shaw (R)19.2%3.0 PA

6Michael Busch (L)23.4%2.4 PA

7Dansby Swanson (R)23.3%2.0 PA

8Miguel Amaya (R)19.6%2.0 PA

9Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.1%2.0 PA