‹ Strikeouts · Friday, May 15, 2026
PHI @ PIT Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 15, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
11–9
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 66°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.0% K/BF
vs LHB21.1%
vs RHB25.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.2%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)28.1%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)20.6%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)23.1%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)19.2%3.0 PA
5Marcell Ozuna (R)25.2%2.9 PA
6Nick Gonzales (R)16.9%2.0 PA
7Konnor Griffin (R)25.4%2.0 PA
8Endy Rodríguez (L)20.5%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)21.4%2.0 PA
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.4% K/BF
vs LHB27.1%
vs RHB20.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.4 BF
Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.6 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)23.1%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)28.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)18.0%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)15.8%3.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)19.0%3.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)20.1%2.4 PA
7Rafael Marchán (L)21.4%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)21.0%2.0 PA
9Adolis García (R)25.1%2.0 PA