AZ @ COL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 15, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

9–1

Final

COL

Colorado Rockies

◆ Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft☀ 80°F CloudyWind 4 mph, In From CF

Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB17.5%

vs RHB23.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Edouard Julien (L)26.0%3.0 PA

2Mickey Moniak (L)22.3%3.0 PA

3Hunter Goodman (R)27.2%3.0 PA

4TJ Rumfield (L)18.9%3.0 PA

5Troy Johnston (L)22.6%3.0 PA

6Jake McCarthy (L)17.8%2.7 PA

7Willi Castro (L)27.0%2.0 PA

8Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0 PA

9Kyle Karros (R)22.9%2.0 PA

Kyle Freeland · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ketel Marte (R)19.3%3.0 PA

2Corbin Carroll (L)20.5%3.0 PA

3Geraldo Perdomo (R)15.0%3.0 PA

4Nolan Arenado (R)19.2%2.3 PA

5Ildemaro Vargas (R)14.4%2.0 PA

6Tim Tawa (R)21.8%2.0 PA

7Gabriel Moreno (R)21.9%2.0 PA

8Jose Fernandez (R)24.4%2.0 PA

9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)20.3%2.0 PA