‹ Strikeouts · Friday, May 15, 2026
BOS @ ATL Strikeouts matchups · Friday, May 15, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
2–3
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 77°F ClearWind 5 mph, In From RF
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.1% K/BF
vs LHB24.5%
vs RHB21.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Mauricio Dubón (R)18.6%3.0 PA
2Drake Baldwin (L)18.8%3.0 PA
3Ozzie Albies (R)13.3%3.0 PA
4Matt Olson (L)23.6%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)23.6%2.6 PA
6Michael Harris II (L)22.8%2.0 PA
7Ha-Seong Kim (R)21.0%2.0 PA
8Didier Fuentes (R)22.0%2.0 PA
9Mike Yastrzemski (L)24.3%2.0 PA
Spencer Strider · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.2% K/BF
vs LHB26.8%
vs RHB23.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)25.2%3.0 PA
2Mickey Gasper (L)20.1%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.4%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)27.0%3.0 PA
5Ceddanne Rafaela (R)21.4%2.4 PA
6Marcelo Mayer (L)22.8%2.0 PA
7Andruw Monasterio (R)21.5%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)25.1%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)18.6%2.0 PA