‹ Strikeouts · Saturday, May 16, 2026
SD @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Saturday, May 16, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
7–4
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 57°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, Calm
Walker Buehler · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.3% K/BF
vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB20.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.3 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)19.6%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)23.7%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)16.7%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)22.9%2.4 PA
5Luke Raley (L)27.9%2.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)21.0%2.0 PA
7Rob Refsnyder (R)24.0%2.0 PA
8Jhonny Pereda (R)24.7%2.0 PA
9Connor Joe (R)21.8%2.0 PA
Logan Gilbert · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.9% K/BF
vs LHB27.5%
vs RHB22.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.7 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jackson Merrill (L)24.1%3.0 PA
2Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.4%3.0 PA
3Manny Machado (R)23.6%3.0 PA
4Gavin Sheets (L)21.3%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)21.0%2.9 PA
6Miguel Andujar (R)19.6%2.0 PA
7Sung-Mun Song (L)22.1%2.0 PA
8Ramón Laureano (R)27.8%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0 PA