‹ Strikeouts · Sunday, May 17, 2026
SD @ SEA Strikeouts matchups · Sunday, May 17, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
8–3
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
◆ T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft☀ 61°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From LF
Lucas Giolito · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF
vs LHB22.1%
vs RHB18.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.8 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Leo Rivas (L)27.8%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)23.6%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)16.2%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)23.0%3.0 PA
5Rob Refsnyder (R)24.0%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)20.8%2.0 PA
7Dominic Canzone (L)20.9%2.0 PA
8Mitch Garver (R)28.3%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)22.0%2.0 PA
George Kirby · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF
vs LHB21.9%
vs RHB22.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.5 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)21.6%3.0 PA
2Sung-Mun Song (L)21.7%3.0 PA
3Gavin Sheets (L)21.4%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)23.0%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)20.8%3.0 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)24.7%3.0 PA
7Ramón Laureano (R)27.4%2.3 PA
8Ty France (R)19.6%2.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)20.5%2.0 PA