CIN @ PHI Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 18, 2026

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

4–5

Final

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 93°F ClearWind 13 mph, Out To CF

Nick Lodolo · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Trea Turner (R)18.4%3.0 PA

2Bryce Harper (L)21.5%3.0 PA

3Jhoan Duran (R)22.0%3.0 PA

4Edmundo Sosa (R)23.2%3.0 PA

5Adolis García (R)25.0%2.7 PA

6Bryson Stott (L)17.5%2.0 PA

7J.T. Realmuto (R)20.3%2.0 PA

8Justin Crawford (L)21.7%2.0 PA

9Brandon Marsh (L)27.0%2.0 PA

Andrew Painter · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.9% K/BF

vs LHB19.5%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Matt McLain (R)20.9%3.0 PA

2Elly De La Cruz (L)25.2%3.0 PA

3Spencer Steer (R)21.1%3.0 PA

4Dane Myers (R)21.3%3.0 PA

5Sal Stewart (R)20.1%2.3 PA

6Nathaniel Lowe (L)25.3%2.0 PA

7Tyler Stephenson (R)26.1%2.0 PA

8TJ Friedl (L)22.8%2.0 PA

9Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)19.6%2.0 PA