MIL @ CHC Strikeouts matchups · Monday, May 18, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

9–3

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 15 mph, Out To CF

Brandon Sproat · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.5% K/BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Nico Hoerner (R)10.7%3.0 PA

2Michael Busch (L)21.1%3.0 PA

3Alex Bregman (R)18.8%3.0 PA

4Ian Happ (L)28.8%2.1 PA

5Seiya Suzuki (R)26.9%2.0 PA

6Matt Shaw (R)20.8%2.0 PA

7Carson Kelly (R)20.0%2.0 PA

8Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)21.5%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)20.1%2.0 PA

Shota Imanaga · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.0% K/BF

vs LHB25.8%

vs RHB25.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Jackson Chourio (R)24.9%3.0 PA

2Brice Turang (L)22.4%3.0 PA

3William Contreras (R)21.9%3.0 PA

4Christian Yelich (L)22.8%3.0 PA

5Blake Perkins (R)19.2%3.0 PA

6Jake Bauers (L)20.7%2.3 PA

7Luis Rengifo (R)20.5%2.0 PA

8Sal Frelick (L)19.2%2.0 PA

9Joey Ortiz (R)19.0%2.0 PA