‹ Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 20, 2026
BAL @ TB Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
3–5
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
◆ Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None
Shane Baz · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF
vs LHB19.5%
vs RHB21.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.9 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-110
BOLBetOnline-118-110
BRBetRivers-122-109
BOVBovada-115-115
DKDraftKings-117-109
FANFanatics-115-115
FDFanDuel-114-114
We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)13.9%3.0 PA
2Oliver Dunn (L)26.0%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)21.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan Vilade (R)21.7%3.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)22.0%3.0 PA
6Jonny DeLuca (R)21.8%3.0 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)21.9%2.4 PA
8Hunter Feduccia (L)25.2%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (L)25.1%2.0 PA
Steven Matz · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.7% K/BF
vs LHB18.9%
vs RHB20.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection4.7 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+118-154
BRBetRivers+108-143
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+121-155
FDFanDuel+116-142
We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)20.3%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)22.4%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (R)19.2%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)23.2%3.0 PA
5Tyler O'Neill (R)28.4%2.2 PA
6Samuel Basallo (L)21.9%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)25.9%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)25.6%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)24.6%2.0 PA