MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

PIT @ STL Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
70
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 66°F CloudyWind 9 mph, In From LF

PIT Carmen Mlodzinski · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.4% K/BF

vs LHB20.1%
vs RHB20.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-140
BOLBetOnline+110-143
BRBetRivers+123-165
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+132-169
FANFanatics+115-150
FDFanDuel+122-162

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)19.8%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)20.7%3.0 PA
3Yohel Pozo (R)21.0%3.0 PA
4Thomas Saggese (R)24.6%3.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)27.0%2.6 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)21.4%2.0 PA
7César Prieto (L)22.6%2.0 PA
8Nathan Church (L)21.4%2.0 PA
9José Fermín (R)20.1%2.0 PA

STL Michael McGreevy · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.7% K/BF

vs LHB19.8%
vs RHB22.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-161+124
BRBetRivers-159+118
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-165+129
FDFanDuel-158+128

We project 4.7 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)16.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)22.1%3.0 PA
3Billy Cook (R)24.0%3.0 PA
4Oneil Cruz (L)27.5%3.0 PA
5Spencer Horwitz (L)18.2%2.1 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)24.6%2.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)21.7%2.0 PA
8Jhostynxon Garcia (R)21.8%2.0 PA
9Jake Mangum (L)22.9%2.0 PA