MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

HOU @ MIN Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
14
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 57°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, L To R

HOU Mike Burrows · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.2% K/BF

vs LHB19.3%
vs RHB23.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline-164+125
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-159+125
FDFanDuel-166+126

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)24.7%3.0 PA
2Trevor Larnach (L)18.9%3.0 PA
3Austin Martin (R)19.3%3.0 PA
4Kody Clemens (L)23.9%3.0 PA
5Luke Keaschall (R)18.3%3.0 PA
6Victor Caratini (L)18.5%2.7 PA
7Tristan Gray (L)25.0%2.0 PA
8Ryan Kreidler (R)28.0%2.0 PA
9James Outman (L)28.7%2.0 PA

MIN Joe Ryan · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate25.1% K/BF

vs LHB22.7%
vs RHB26.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-135
BOLBetOnline+103-133
BRBetRivers+104-137
BOVBovada+110-145
DKDraftKings+103-131
FANFanatics+100-130
FDFanDuel+112-138

We project 5.6 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)18.4%3.0 PA
2Isaac Paredes (R)20.4%3.0 PA
3Yordan Alvarez (L)20.3%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)21.8%2.8 PA
5Jake Meyers (R)20.2%2.0 PA
6Zach Dezenzo (R)26.6%2.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)25.7%2.0 PA
8Cam Smith (R)27.3%2.0 PA
9César Salazar (L)19.6%2.0 PA