MatchWiz
Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

ATL @ MIA Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
91
Final
MIA
Miami Marlins
MIA
loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

ATL Chris Sale · LHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.9% K/BF

vs LHB27.3%
vs RHB26.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOLBetOnline+100-130
BRBetRivers+105-139
BOVBovada-105-125
DKDraftKings+121-154
FDFanDuel+102-136

We project 6.4 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (R)19.6%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)15.8%3.0 PA
3Heriberto Hernández (R)22.0%3.0 PA
4Connor Norby (R)23.4%3.0 PA
5Esteury Ruiz (R)23.6%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)31.8%2.6 PA
7Christopher Morel (R)29.7%2.0 PA
8Liam Hicks (L)19.6%2.0 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)17.3%2.0 PA

MIA Janson Junk · RHP

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.0% K/BF

vs LHB18.8%
vs RHB20.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+110
BOLBetOnline-147+114
BRBetRivers-159+118
BOVBovada-135+105
DKDraftKings-150+117
FANFanatics-145+110
FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Eli White (R)21.2%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)20.6%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)23.7%3.0 PA
4Jorge Mateo (R)22.7%3.0 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)20.2%3.0 PA
6Mauricio Dubón (R)18.8%2.4 PA
7Austin Riley (R)25.9%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.9%2.0 PA
9Sandy León (L)23.5%2.0 PA