‹ Strikeouts · Wednesday, May 20, 2026
BOS @ KC Strikeouts matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026
BOS
Boston Red Sox
4–3
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 65°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, In From RF
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.2% K/BF
vs LHB25.3%
vs RHB22.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.0 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+105
BOLBetOnline-132+102
BRBetRivers-139+105
BOVBovada-130+100
DKDraftKings-140+110
FANFanatics-130+100
FDFanDuel-132+100
We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
KC lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Maikel Garcia (R)17.5%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)16.8%3.0 PA
3Michael Massey (L)23.6%3.0 PA
4Isaac Collins (R)23.4%3.0 PA
5Nick Loftin (R)17.9%2.6 PA
6Jac Caglianone (L)25.6%2.0 PA
7Starling Marte (R)23.4%2.0 PA
8Carter Jensen (L)19.9%2.0 PA
9Lane Thomas (R)18.8%2.0 PA
Michael Wacha · RHP
Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.1% K/BF
vs LHB22.2%
vs RHB20.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.
Projection5.1 K
Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.
Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-125
BOLBetOnline-110-118
BRBetRivers+102-134
BOVBovada-110-120
DKDraftKings-111-115
FDFanDuel-106-114
We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)25.3%3.0 PA
2Masataka Yoshida (L)14.0%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.3%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)26.1%3.0 PA
5Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.6%3.0 PA
6Nick Sogard (L)21.9%3.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)21.9%2.3 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)26.3%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)19.7%2.0 PA